NRL Tips – Round 12, 2017

Round 11 was about as easy as they get. A lot of games came down as expected and unlike round 10, there weren’t any major deviations from the form book.

“Success”

A good round for all. Six of eight for me and Eratosthenes while the others managed seven from eight. The Greeks tipped Penrith over Newcastle – the right decision if you weren’t being optimistic – but we all expected the Gold Coast, based on their recent form, to get over Manly. Unfortunately, that didn’t happen and the Sea Eagles might pick up a few more games through the Origin period with Cherry-Evans on the outs with Queensland selectors.

The good news is that we’re all at 50% or higher, except for Euclid who is supposed to be the tipster system. It’s been a bit of a weird season.

After round 11:

rd12-2017-correct tips

Draw

parramatta-sm Parramatta (5-6) @ souths-sm South Sydney (4-7)

brisbane-sm Brisbane (8-3) @ warriors-sm New Zealand (4-7)

canterbury-sm Canterbury (5-6) @ cronulla-sm Cronulla (8-3)

sydney city-sm Sydney (8-3) @ canberra-sm Canberra (5-6)

Tips

So while it’s a short round, meaning fewer games to agonise over the outcome of, it’s a short round because of Origin. We’ll see the ELO systems/Greeks not rate the teams properly this round because it doesn’t take into account individual players selections. The Greeks only look at an amorphous mass known as a NRL club and draw the conclusion that this week’s Rabbitohs is the same as last week’s (refer Ship of Theseus).

Having said that, a Broncos with eight players out for Origin and a Roosters minus three players are still a f-load better than the Warriors and Raiders have shown themselves recently. Brisbane could (and pretty much are) send Redcliffe to play NZ and still come out on top. Why the bookies have the Warriors and Raiders as favourites absolutely baffles me. Home field advantage?

Meanwhile, the ban on tipping Western Sydney sides forces me to back Souths and Cronulla but I would’ve backed them anyway. Parra are lucky to be as high up as they are and Cronulla are simply too good at the moment, even playing at home, which seems to be giving them the yips lately, and down four players.

rd12-2017-round tips.PNG

Advertisements