Club Report – Gold Coast Titans

gct-lgBackground

The Gold Coast Titans have only been in the NRL since 2007. The Titans franchise are the most recent iteration of top-level rugby league’s attempts to crack the Gold Coast market, following in the footsteps of the Giants (1988-89), Seagulls (1990-95) and Chargers (1996-98).

Gold Coast peaked in 2009 and 2010, managing top four finishes. Since then, results have been thinner on the ground and the club collected a wooden spoon in 2011. The Titans finished outside of the finals spots every year until last season when the Eels were docked enough points for them to sneak in, only to be eliminated in the first round against the Broncos.

Class

Using the Eratosthenes system, we measure the long term class – their structural competence – of NRL clubs.

The Gold Coast Titans’ current rating is 1435, putting them third last in the league ahead of Wests and Newcastle. The Titans have had an average class rating of 1468 since 2007. Since 1998, only three teams have averaged worse ratings: the Cowboys, the Rabbitohs and the Tigers.

Over the last decade, four teams have not fared as well: the Bulldogs, the Sharks, the Panthers and the Eels.

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The Titans peaked at a maximum rating of 1528 during the 2010 finals series. This is the lowest of all the teams but have only had half the time to achieve anything. The Gold Coast’s lowest ever rating was 1415, after round 7, 2017. There are seven teams that have had lower ratings, including Cronulla, Manly, Newcastle, North Queensland, Souths, New Zealand and Wests.

NRL Honours

  • Premierships – 0
  • Runners-up – 0
  • Minor Premierships – 0
  • Finalist – 3 | 2009, 2010, 2016
  • Wooden Spoons – 1 | 2011

Record (rd1/2007 – rd20/2017)

  • Games 261
  • Wins 115 (44.1%)
  • Draws 1
  • Points For 5,033
  • Points Against 5,997
  • Net F/A -964
  • Pythagorean expectation 41.8%

Form

Using the Archimedes system, we measure the short term form of NRL clubs.

The Titans have averaged a form rating of 1461 over the last 26 regular season rounds. Their current rating is 1466.

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The Titans’ highest rating was 1584 after round 24 last year after win over the Knights in 2016. The lowest rating was 1360 after round 7’s loss to the Broncos.

Record (last 26 rounds)

  • Finished 2016 in 8th
  • Currently 11th
  • Games 25
  • Wins 9 (37.5%)
  • Draws 1
  • Points For 541
  • Points Against 581
  • Net F/A -40
  • Pythagorean expectation 46.6%

Stocky Projection

We use the Stocky to predict what might happen in the season ahead. This is what the Stocky has predicted for Gold Coast so far in the 2017 season.

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